Big League Politics BREAKING: CDC Reports 20 Percent Autism Increase In Children
From ABCs to IEPs Anne Dachel Reports on Radical Changes in Schools

Breaking News: 1 in 59 children Born in 2006 have Autism, 1 in 36 between the ages of 3 and 17. What’s going on?

Health Choice Square Breaking news

On April 27, 2018 the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) released the 2014 report of the Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) Network.1 The report declares that the autism rate for 8-year-old children born in 2006 was 1 in 59, by 15% from the rate of 1 in 68 described in the 2012 ADDM report2 and an increase of 20% for the sites (6 out of 11) that participated in the 2012 survey.

The authors declared their new findings, “provide evidence that the prevalence of ASD is higher than previously reported estimates and continues to vary among certain racial/ethnic groups and communities.” Despite the fact that autism rates have risen from 1 in 149 in their initial 2000 ADDM report3 and from 1 in 10,000 in the earliest American studies,4 the new report only grudgingly acknowledges (on page 15 of 23) that “with prevalence of ASD reaching nearly 3% in some communities and representing an increase of 150% since 2000, ASD is an urgent public health concern.” Oddly, as it has become obvious that America has a raging autism epidemic, the CDC’s main goal in reporting autism rates is to suppress public concern over what is now a clear national emergency.

Notably, these new rates are significantly lower than those reported last November by another branch of the CDC, the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). In that study, the CDC reported a 2016 autism rate of 1 in 36 in American children aged 3-17 years old, and 1 in 28 boys.5

When the NCHS study was released, no major news outlets reported on what was a new record high rate for autism.6

Inexplicably, in the face of these extraordinarily high and [increasing] rates, the CDC’s official position on the autism epidemic has not changed. “More people than ever before are being diagnosed with ASD. It is unclear how much of this increase is due to a broader definition of ASD and better efforts in diagnosis. However, a true increase in the number of people with an ASD cannot be ruled out.”7

It is impossible to understate the seriousness of the autism epidemic. It has enormous implications for our country.

  • Something new and terrible is happening to a generation of American children.
  • Autism has largely been a problem of American children, imposing an overwhelming burden on American schools for the last three decades
  • There are less than 200,000 adults with autism today. At the current rate of growth, we will see an adult autistic population of 5 million in 25 years
  • If the epidemic doesn’t stop, a tsunami of disabled adults will soon overwhelm the infrastructure available to serve them
  • Today, most individuals with autism live with their parents. As this disabled population enters adulthood, their parents will die leaving them no natural caregiver.
  • We are not remotely prepared for the burden of this new population


  1. Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network Surveillance Year 2014 Principal Investigators. Prevalence of autism spectrum disorder among children aged eight years—Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network, 11 sites, United States, 2014. MMWR Surveill Summ. 2018;Apr 27;67(6):1-23..
  • Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network Surveillance Year 2000 Principal Investigators; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Prevalence of autism spectrum disorders--autism and developmental disabilities monitoring network, six sites, United States, 2000. MMWR Surveill Summ. 2007 Feb 9;56(1):1-11.
  • Blaxill MF. What's going on? The question of time trends in autism. Public Health Rep. 2004;119(6):536-51.
  • Zablotsky B, Black LI, Blumberg SJ. Estimated prevalence of children with diagnosed developmental disabilities in the United States, 2014–2016. NCHS Data Brief, no 291. Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. 2017.
  • Comments

    Jeannette Bishop

    Aimee Doyle

    I wish the statistics would give a clearer view of the spectrum. I realize the labels "high-functioning" and "low functioning" are not perfect, but it would be good to know what percentage of kids fall where on the spectrum.

    How many are Aspies or high-functioning (can finish high school, go to college, hold a paid job)? How many are moderately functioning - some language but some intellectual disability? How many are profoundly affected - non verbal with significant intellectual disability"?

    It would be important to know this so we can see what is really happening to our kids - and also for planning purposes in terms of education, supports, and services. And even research into treatments and therapies (such as it is) could be more targeted.

    Grace Green

    Sai Prasad and others, you're right. I've already been told by friends, "We're ALL autistic - it's a spectrum!"

    Sai Prasad

    Year 2020 - Autism rate 1 in 38
    Threre is NO Autism Epidemic, only better diagnosis... CDC, MS media, MS Autism “mainstreaming” orgs, all other Big Pharma sponsored agencies

    Year 2025 - Autism rate 1 in 22
    Threre is NO Autism Epidemic, only better diagnosis... CDC, MS media, MS Autism “mainstreaming” orgs, all other Big Pharma sponsored agencies

    Year 2030 - Autism rate 1 in 10
    Threre is NO Autism Epidemic, only better diagnosis... CDC, MS media, MS Autism “mainstreaming” orgs, all other Big Pharma sponsored agencies

    Year 2050 - Autism 1 in 1
    There is NO Autism, because every child has it... CDC, MS media, MS Autism “mainstreaming” orgs, all other Big Pharma sponsored agencies


    Thank you Jeanette and @Linda1,

    They certainly know what they're doing. Seeing how they have not used one opportunity to turn this around or even acknowledge it and by their lax epidemiology and reporting, they are avoiding the issue as much as possible while at the same time attempting to normalize catastrophic results, it is clear that this is deliberate genocide.

    The only question that remains, is why? What is the motive for this crime against humanity? Peggy Jaeger, I do not think your proposed explanation is out of bounds.



    Bill Gates thinks a coming disease could kill 30 million people within 6 months — and says we should prepare for it as we do for war.

    The next deadly disease that will cause a global pandemic is coming, Bill Gates said on Friday at a discussion of epidemics.

    An illness like the pandemic 1918 influenza could kill 30 million people within six months, Gates said, adding that the next disease might not even be a flu, but something we've never seen.

    I wonder if this is a prediction or did he make a threat??? lol

    Seriously, what is wrong with this world? We have horror stories about the flu we have fortunes invested in new vaccines but not even one single reasonable article about autism growth that has been going on for DECADES.

    When I was a child I was looking forward to having the flu because I could spend time at home instead of going to school. Today it seems a disease that is getting deadlier and scarier each year.

    John Stone


    When it’s 1 in 1 it will still be better recognition.

    Tim Lundeen

    The scary thing is that this is the report for kids born 12 years ago. Since boys have 4x the rate as girls, the rate for boys born in 2006 is 1 in 21 (and much higher in some places).

    If autism rates continue to double every 6 years, as they have up till now, then this year, the rate for boys born in 2018 is 1 in 5 -- 20% of them. Good luck hiding that, when we finally hear how bad it is, 12 years from now. Of course, when we hear how bad 2018 was, the rate of boys born in 2030 will be nearly every boy.

    Peggy Jaeger

    Same old stall tactics, same old methods, same old ridiculous statements as to why this learned institution can't decide what figures to use or what information to use to determine statistical info. I sincerely wonder...Who is creating a new social class of SLAVES and why..?? Sounds like an old tale about our founding fathers being beings from outer space who wanted slave labor to mine the planet. If that were true,,then we'd better be looking up as a secular class too for creating many new cases of developmentally disabled kids,,mostly male, would surely mean...they're coming back...And the current health agencies are being compliant with an alien race, or coerced by one. Then maybe not so alien as ...Russian Collusion..?? These agencies in charge ...can Not be this Stupid.. !!

    Shelley Tzorfas

    From my point of view as someone who Never heard of or Saw an autistic kid until the 1990's and now sees one on every block or street, the actual numbers of kids with Autism are being underreported.The DSM 5 had a clever way to hide some of the ASD affected children. They made separate categories for social and speech issues. Parents were relieved to get a speech issue, not Autism. They will say that their child just has a speech delay. They will say that their child throws things in stores, has trouble with crowds, eats only few foods, doesn't come when their name is called, throws fits, can't sit still, jumps off a high ladder without realizing the impact, but their child just has a speech diagnosis. I personally have not seen 1 child correctly diagnosed in over 10 years and my career is working with children who have issues. Too bad for the parent who is relieved to Not hear an Autism diagnosis when the child is very young. If they had the real diagnosis, a lot of things could be done in those early years to recover the child and Get Rid of the diagnosis. The window of opportunity to recover the child closes as the child ages. The correct amount of therapies and the diversity of therapies would have been the crux of removing the need for the diagnosis in many children. One in 59 children with Autism according to the new CDC report is laughable. The other arm of the CDC previously said 1 in 36. In NJ alone it is already 1 in 34 children and the ratio is 4:1 for boys. Let's get real and stop this INFLAMMATION!

    Jeannette Bishop

    @Linda1, one theory I have is that some may already be looking at results from 2008 and 2010 birth years and deliberating how to best shape the probably climbing "official" trajectory politically, most likely in reference to timing of various vaccine recommendations, like this one... aims to make the least appearance of correlation as possible.

    Maybe there is conflict between 1) keeping things from looking like the potential 1 in 2 children with autism by 2032 forecast in Vaxxed could be happening and 2) keeping things from climbing significantly any particular birth year, 2006 after adding more flu vaccine recommendations, or maybe also considering 2010 after the 2009 H1N1 plus regular prenatal flu vaccine push. (I have to add though that my limited experience suggests the flu vaccine was being given to some of the pediatric population well before the official "recommendation" put this vaccine under the NVICP, so...I don't know if the CDC actually knows how many vaccines are being given in some areas?)

    Maybe I'm assigning too much foresight and cognizance and some just struggled to best minimize the results possibly in opposition to some who wanted to publish straightforward statistics, but whatever was going on, something did seem to motivate one person reportedly to have oversight of this report to leave her position.

    As they spent about 4 years on the DeStefano autism and MMR timing study after they first saw results before publication, and 4 years between starting analyzing data for the Verstraten study I think in 1999 to be finally published end of 2003...

    ... approximately 4 years between results and release seems to be a pattern of something or other...

    Mark Wax

    Aimee Doyle has it exactly right. The low functioning, painted as worthless by society are being victimized twice. Or should I say continually. Trust me, pharma and government and not for profit shills will exploit all of it. " YO YO" isn't the lyric from an 80's rap song. It is what the message has been for a very long time in fascist bound America: "You're on your own."

    Hans Litten

    The situation in Canada seems to be dire also :

    NASS compiles administrative data from the health, education and social services sectors for children and youth (aged 5-17 years) who have a confirmed ASD diagnosis. Seven of Canada’s 13 provinces and territories provided information for 2015, including six provinces (British Columbia, New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and Quebec) and one territory (Yukon). As the figure below shows, ASD prevalence in 2015 varied among the seven regions, with the highest prevalence noted in the three provinces of Newfoundland and Labrador (1 in 57), Prince Edward Island (1 in 59) and Quebec (1 in 65). In comparison, prevalence was substantially lower in the Yukon territory (1 in 125).

    The three high-prevalence provinces also provided retrospective data that allowed for an assessment of temporal trends. For the slightly narrower age group of 5-14 year-olds, the historical data showed sizeable increases in ASD prevalence from 2003 to 2015 (Prince Edward Island and Quebec) and from 2003 to 2009 (Newfoundland and Labrador):
    •Newfoundland and Labrador: from 6 to 19.6 per 1,000 (a 227% increase)
    •Prince Edward Island: from 5 to 17.7 per 1,000 (a 254% increase)
    •Quebec: from 3.5 to 15.7 per 1,000 (a 349% increase)

    However, an observant health practitioner in British Columbia has noticed a compelling parallel: autism prevalence is highest in the Canadian provinces that also have the highest vaccination coverage.

    Hans Litten

    2006 ? really are the cdc joking ? Its 2018
    How can we trust anything coming out of that criminal organisation who just appointed another person as chief whose reputation was besmirched for massaging the figures in yet another vaccination efficacy report . How did this thief get the job ?
    Was his criminality a pre-requisite & a requirement to getting the job ?


    Newly appointed CDC chief Robert Redfield, right, giving a speech during the Aid for AIDS My Hero Gala held in 2013.

    There is probably only one person in the world I would trust to do an honest and up to date study of ASD prevalence rates. And that person is Stephanie Seneff .

    And Stephanie is predicting a 50% rate of ASD in the 2030's

    John Stone


    Thank you for drawing attention to the late Dr Jacobson’s comments - these arguments are somewhat familiar. There is certainly a problem that criteria of diagnosis can be inconsistent. But when I first saw this argument expressed by Dr Fombonne c.2001-2 it seemed to fail because it only provided an argument that autistic conditions might not be rising but it was not a solid argument for saying they were not. It did not seem a good argument ultimately in the face of a manifest increased burden: at that time (speaking for myself) we had young children, we were very well aware of what was happening on the ground with our local authority trying to cope with an unprecedented influx of cases.

    But I also draw attention, for instance, to British government data of 1999 which gave the rate for PDD (a broad definition) among those born between 1984 and 1988 as 1 in 500, and now we are talking about 10 times that and beyond.

    Shay Ben

    Thank you for this post. Here is another article I wanted to share that discusses the topic of autism rate / "is autism on the rise"?\

    Posted on the Association for Science in Autism Treatment website.


    At one time I was glued to all the IACC meetings and watched every last one, for a good solid couple of years. .
    During one of the IACC meetings; one long entire segment of time was given to some psychologist - woman, about the new DSM manual. I do not remember her name, but I do remember what she said.

    First she calmed the fears of some high functioning aspergers serving on the IACC committees that they would be safe. That psychologist assured them that no one had any intention to go back and changing old diagnosis. Those with Asperger's on the IACC committee were visibly relieved since they had found a way to game the system and make money by claiming they had autism.

    Second : this psychologist, she went through all these dry stats, and new procedures in diagnosing autism .
    Then she said they used or applied these new procedures to children and with very plain speech she said; The numbers of the classical, worst autism remained the same. The numbers of those with aspergers remained the same. But the middle group, the largest group of children, with the PDD-NOS - that group; the numbers that were diagnoses with autism was greatly reduced.

    When asked were did they go, she said that those that with PDD-NOS that fell through the cracks were put into other categories in the new DSM book like: communication disorders, or other things , my guess would be Tourette's, anxiety, panic disorders, obsessive compulsive disorders.

    Whyser; I don't think it is which manual to use that held them back. They had every intention of using the new one all along. That is why they made up the whole new manual to begin with .

    I am shocked that the CDC report came out saying it has gone up.
    By a lot.
    Probably more before they changed the manual.
    There must be some serious things going on with in the CDC.


    "something new and terrible is happening to (American) children"

    Yes indeed.

    Aimee Doyle

    An autism mom I know (who is an ardent neurodiversity proponent) said that "the rate is just going up because they are counting the higher functioning kids".

    I don't see things changing as long as neurodiversity advocates - the vocal minority who dominate the autism conversation - argue that autism is a gift, or a difference, and never a disability, no serious action will be taken to find the cause or effective treatments for autism. The neurodiversity movement has been very effective at blocking research into treatment and cure.

    Autism Speaks currently has two vocal anti-cure proponents on its board, Stephen Shore and Valerie Paradiz. The IACC, which controls all autism funding authorized through the Autism Cares Act, has even more anti-cure proponents on the committee. The neurodiversity movement has coopted almost every major autism organization.

    I've been in the autism trenches with my son for 25+ years; I haven't seen a new treatment or therapy in the last 15.


    Cynically, I think they just defer the statistics, so alarming that any world leader should be shaken into action. They have too much money and hubris on the line to back down until forced.

    cia parker

    Why call it "social communication"? Thirty years ago it was just "verbal communication," period. And that's what it is. Brain damage to the language center of the brain. Whenever you use verbal communication, you're using it in a social context, but calling it social communication just muddies the waters, suggesting that other forms of communication are just fine.


    Okay so here's what I found:

    According to the CDC study for which this report is based on:

    It says, "This report provides updated ASD prevalence estimates for children aged 8 years during the 2014 surveillance year, on the basis of DSM-IV-TR criteria, and describes characteristics of the population of children with ASD. In 2013, the American Psychiatric Association published the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-5), which made considerable changes to ASD diagnostic criteria. The change in ASD diagnostic criteria might influence ADDM ASD prevalence estimates; therefore, most (85%) of the records used to determine prevalence estimates based on DSM-IV-TR criteria underwent additional review under a newly operationalized surveillance case definition for ASD consistent with the DSM-5 diagnostic criteria.

    Children meeting this new surveillance case definition could qualify on the basis of one or both of the following criteria, as documented in abstracted comprehensive evaluations: 1) behaviors consistent with the DSM-5 diagnostic features; and/or 2) an ASD diagnosis, whether based on DSM-IV-TR or DSM-5 diagnostic criteria. Stratified comparisons of the number of children meeting either of these two case definitions also are reported."

    The DSM-IV-TR was used since 2000, and was not updated until 2013, being replaced by DSM-5.

    Here's what Autism Speaks has to say about the revision:

    What changes to the diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder did the APA approve?
    The five major changes are:

    1) The new classification system eliminates the previously separate subcategories on the autism spectrum, including Asperger syndrome, PDD-NOS, childhood disintegrative disorder and autistic disorder. These subcategories will be folded into the broad term autism spectrum disorder (ASD).

    2) Instead of three domains of autism symptoms (social impairment, language/communication impairment and repetitive/restricted behaviors), two categories will be used: social communication impairment and restricted interests/repetitive behaviors. Under the DSM-IV, a person qualified for an ASD diagnosis by exhibiting at least six of twelve deficits in social interaction, communication or repetitive behaviors. Under the DSM-5, diagnosis will require a person to exhibit three deficits in social communication and at least two symptoms in the category of restricted range of activities/repetitive behaviors. Within the second category, a new symptom will be included: hyper- or hypo-reactivity to sensory input or unusual interests in sensory aspects of the environment.

    3) Symptoms can currently be present, or reported in past history.

    4) In addition to the diagnosis, each person evaluated will also be described in terms of any known genetic cause (e.g. fragile X syndrome, Rett syndrome), level of language and intellectual disability and presence of medical conditions such as seizures, anxiety, depression, and/or gastrointestinal (GI) problems.

    5) The work group added a new category called Social Communication Disorder (SCD). This will allow for a diagnosis of disabilities in social communication without the presence of repetitive behavior.

    If you read the changes made, it appears that the definition of ASD was broadened by ASD-5. I would assume that is what you would do if you want to make the case for the definition of autism broadening as an explanation for higher prevalence rates of autism.

    Unfortunately, I did not see what the CDC did with the other 15% of the records that did not undergo re-evaluation. Is it simply assumed that it was determined under the DSM-IV-TR criteria?


    Meanwhile CDC stokes public panic about measles in Onalaska, Wisconsin.

    Handy way to deflect attention from the autism epidemic, and the Merck whistleblower mumps vaccine lawsuit.

    And the band played on....


    Stupid question: Why are they releasing 2014 results of a 2012 analysis of 2006 births in 2018?

    Is the CDC short staffed? Do they work part time? Or are they just all out to lunch?


    If I recall correctly, wasn't the CDC holding back the results in order to determine which DSM revision to use?

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