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Update: New Study Links Lowered Probability of Pregnancy in Females 25 - 29 to HPV Vaccination

Empty cribHere is an addendum to this post from the study author, Gayle Delong, PhD:

In connection with my paper, the question has been raised: Given that married women who had the HPV shot were less likely to conceive than those who did not receive the shot, were the former more likely to use birth control than the latter? My result that married women who received the shot were less likely to conceive could be explained if those women were more actively trying to prevent pregnancy than married women who did not receive the shot.

The three questions on NHANES that provide insights into contraception are 1) SXQ251: In the past 12 months, how often had you had sex without a condom? 2) RHD442: Are you taking birth control pills now? 3) RHQ520: Are you now using Depo-Provera or injectables to prevent pregnancy?

I seek to determine whether married women who received the HPV shot are more actively seeking to prevent pregnancy than married women who did not receive the shot. I define “actively seeking to prevent pregnancy” as women who at the time of the interview were using condoms at least half the time or taking the birth control pill or receiving an injectable. I find 51.5% of married women who did not receive the shot and 36.6% of married women who received the shot were actively seeking to prevent pregnancy. The 14.9% difference is statistically significant at the 1% level.

This finding suggests that a greater percentage of married women who received the shot should be conceiving compared with married women who did not receive the shot. However, my original study finds that married women who received the shot are less likely to conceive than married women who did not receive the shot. The finding of my original study is not the result of married women who received the HPV vaccine actively avoiding pregnancy more than women who did not receive the HPV shot. I’m happy to discuss details of my results with researchers who are interested.

A lowered probability of pregnancy in females in the USA aged 25–29 who received a human papilloma vaccine injection

Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A, DOI: 10.1080/15287394.2018.1477640

ABSTRACT Birth rates in the United States have recently fallen. Birth rates per 1000 females aged 25–29 fell from 118 in 2007 to 105 in 2015. One factor may involve the vaccination against the human papillomavirus (HPV). Shortly after the vaccine was licensed, several reports of recipients experiencing primary ovarian failure emerged. This study analyzed information gathered in National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, which represented 8 million 25-to-29-year-old women residing in the United States between 2007 and 2014. Approximately 60% of women who did not receive the HPV vaccine had been pregnant at least once, whereas only 35% of women who were exposed to the vaccine had conceived. For married women, 75% who did not receive the shot were found to conceive, while only 50% who received the vaccine had ever been pregnant. Using logistic regression to analyze the data, the probability of having been pregnant was estimated for females who received an HPV vaccine compared with females who did not receive the shot. Results suggest that females who received the HPV shot were less likely to have ever been pregnant than women in the same age group who did not receive the shot. If 100% of females in this study had received the HPV vaccine, data suggest the number of women having ever conceived would have fallen by 2 million. Further study into the influence of HPV vaccine on fertility is thus warranted.

Gayle DeLong, PhD, is an Associate Professor of Economics and Finance in the Bert W. Wasserman Department of Economics and Finance at Baruch’s Zicklin School of Business. Dr. DeLong has published in leading journals, including Journal of FinanceJournal of Financial EconomicsJournal of International Money and FinanceFinancial Management, and Journal of Financial Research. Research interests include bank acquisitions, regulatory capture, and conflicts of interest. DeLong, the 2013 recipient of the Abraham J. Briloff Prize in Ethics as well as the 2010 recipient of the Zicklin School of Business Teaching Excellence Award, holds a PhD in finance and international business from New York University.

Citation:  Gayle DeLong (2018): A lowered probability of pregnancy in females in the USA aged 25–29 who received a human papillomavirus vaccine injection, Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A, DOI: 10.1080/15287394.2018.1477640

Comments

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Hans Litten

The scandal of GardaS_ter_IL_isation

https://vaccineimpact.com/2018/soaring-infertility-rates-linked-to-vaccines/

It might be even higher than 25% increased childlessness :


Among married women in the survey, 36.6 % of those who had received the HPV shot told the NHANES that they were using contraception (condoms at least half the time, birth control or injectables otherwise) compared to more than half (51.5%) of those who didn’t get the shot – a difference of almost 15%.

Less contraceptive use should translate to more babies among the vaccinated. But, it seems that the vaccinated women in the study were actually trying harder to conceive (or at least not so worried about it) but still having less luck – not good for the Skeptic argument.

Hans Litten

Gardasil invented 2006

And the BBC reports this :
The strategy, which led to better access to contraceptive services and more sex education in schools and clinics, lasted 10 years - but rates have continued to fall, by 50% since 2007.

Hans Litten

Got to love the BBC's explanation haven't you ?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-44860598

Sensible, family-loving teens behind pregnancy rate drop
--------------------------------------------------------

I think it might be due to ....
living too close to busy roads
overuse of automobiles
lack of exercise and sport
watching too much TV
obesity
really interesting and stimulating popular music like Taylor Swift
brilliant and inspiring lamestream media (magazines and TV programming)

Or the elephant in the room, they have been sterilised by Gardasil .....nah don't be silly

Hans Litten

Mycoplasma Genatalium (the cover story for Gardasil ????)

https://www.sussexexpress.co.uk/news/health/sex-superbug-could-have-infected-thousands-in-east-sussex-1-8569700

Sex ‘superbug’ could have infected thousands in East Sussex

Or perhaps it is a freebie included in the Gardasil vaccine ?

https://www.marieclaire.com.au/doctors-warn-this-little-known-sti-could-be-the-next-big-superbug
While relatively unknown, MG isn’t new, it was first discovered in the early 1980s according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The greatest consequence of this is for the women who present with PID caused by MG, which would be very hard to treat, putting them at increased risk of infertility," Dr. Paddy Horner, a consultant senior lecturer at the University of Bristol told CNN.

Morag

HPV vaccine available since 2006 appears to be" In Big, Serious, Trouble."
Health and Social Care Leadership is indicating by it's disfunctional behavioural performance in basic health and safety risk assessments "NOT" to have "Learned the hard lessons "from Vioxx injury and damage in 2004.
See /listen with , An exasperated Jonathan Irwin reacts to charge of "Emotional Terrorists" The Vax Channel You Tube 2 Sept 2017 Very good but very serious interview on radio .
See Norman MacLean - Live in Stornoway [ Part 1] You Tube Basic Sex education tutorial for happy healthy well being!
We got taught before starting primary school "Mind any differences now , you will meet all different kinds of folk ,but remember all the different colours,patterns and designs of Tartan ancient or modern and Harris Tweed are all made from the same cloth anyway"
See Tuigainn Leun -Donald MacRae -Gaidhlig Superstar You Tube . Sex Education was I think considered a "mentioning the Unmentionables perhaps " as that generation were advised before
going to a local dance etc "Don't sit on a boys knee , especially if they are wearing a kilt ,or you could end up with a wee baby bundle to take care of "

Greg

Interestingly, in blogging about the study,
The Great, vaccine injuries denialist, Gorski wrote....

There’s also another huge problem with this study. One of the most important covariates that could impact pregnancy rates is (obviously) usage of contraception. Yet nowhere in the analysis is there a consideration of contraception usage. Yes, Delong brings up the lack of statistical significance of the results among never-married women by suggesting that maybe most of them want to avoid pregnancy (which could be true), but, again, contraceptive use is an incredibly important factor, which was not even included as a covariate. My first thought was that maybe it was a question that wasn’t asked. It’s possible. Oh, wait. It’s not. The questionnaire asks whether a female has ever used oral contraceptives, if she is taking them now, and how long she’s taken them. So why did Delong not include oral contraceptive use in her analysis? She could have. She doesn’t even really discuss it other than discussion of contraceptive failure rates. I strongly suspect there was a reason for this. I also strongly suspect that a correlation between HPV uptake and oral contraceptive use (which is not unreasonable to hypothesize) could explain the results Delong observed and that correcting for oral contraceptive use in the survey sample would likely have resulted in the results of the logistic regression no longer being statistically significant. In fairness, if the correlation is not positive but negative (i.e., HPV vaccination is associated with less oral contraceptive use), the results could be more robust than what Gayle found.

I guess the author has effectively answered!

Jeannette Bishop

Thank you, very important update. The only confounding element that occurred to me was that those taking HPV vaccine might be more likely to take or have taken other pharmaceuticals (or have more propensity to seek other potentially harmful types of "care"), but this significantly counters consideration of one major class of pharmaceuticals taken by young women.

Could the possibility of simply causing aluminum poisoning first in the immune system cells, then in the areas of the body those cells will be summoned (like through an HPV infection) adversely impact fertility? Or is there something more specific being set up by the HPV vaccine?

Further thought, we are exposing those aluminum containing tissues at a level never before experienced with EM radiation. This exposure probably works in harmful synergy with every metal containing vaccine, IMO.

bob moffit

"Birth rates in the United States have recently fallen. Birth rates per 1000 females aged 25–29 fell from 118 in 2007 to 105 in 2015. One factor may involve the vaccination against the human papillomavirus (HPV). Shortly after the vaccine was licensed, several reports of recipients experiencing primary ovarian failure emerged."

I guess its time to roll out the old reliable .. "correlation does not mean causation" .. nothing to see or be concerned about here … move on.

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